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I'm frighteningly similar to your dimensions - how does the Spexcel kit fit on you and does it ship with the Spexcel logo or... other? Been on the lookout for the LS Rapha lookalike
seager-
It depends, I got a fake rapha brevet jersey (choose the 'custom logo' option) in M that was tiny, sold that to a mate and ordered one in L and it was only a little bit bigger, still tighter than I'd like (muffin tops have got to go).
I ordered one of their fake Rapha gilets and that arrived with spexcel branding (ordered L and it was tiny, gave it to same mate that fits the M brevet jersey, ordered XL and waiting for it to arrive).
I also ordered one of their fake Blacksheep jersey and shorts combo and the M jersey and XL bibs fit perfectly, so who knows what they're up to. I think my main concern with long sleeve is that if I get one that fits in the body, the arms will be too short.
TurtleRecall
Normally a medium (craft/santini etc), ordered a medium fake rapha brevet jersey and it was slightly too small around the chest (the bands don't stretch), flogged it to a mate and ordered large jersey and large gilet.
Large gilet is tiny, can't even do the zip up. Note that I'm 6'6" with 34" ish waist and 40-42" chest.
Have ordered XL gilet now and I'm hoping it's big enough...