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A quick look at the comments section under any vaguely related news report would suggest leavers are still very happy about their decision. I suspect because they often don't have the education to understand what it means - example comment under article from a pro-leave source about a survey showing 4% of leavers (and 1% of remainers) have changed their mind: "If 4% of leavers have changed their mind, who's to say that 4% of remainers haven't also changed their mind?".
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4% of leavers (and 1% of remainers) have changed their mind
Most people will assume this means: 51.89-4+1 = 48.89% leave and 48.11+4-1 = 51.11% remain.
But if it's a percentage of the voters who have switched it remains a slim Leave majority:-
Leave: ( 51.89 * 0.96 ) + (48.11 * 0.01) = 50.2955
Remain: ( 48.11 * 0.99 ) + (51.89 * 0.04) = 49.7045Although I suspect the figures are rounded to the nearest percentage and therefore all bets are off; it doesn't take much (4.4% and 0.8%) and the calculation swings to remain (just).
tl;dr meaningless stats are meaningless
Bit of a discussion going on on my Facebook feed at the moment...
Friend 1: Not heard anyone mention this yet but... is May's hardball stance on Europe all just a smokescreen? She doesn't want to leave the EU, but doesn't want to commit political suicide by not taking us out and is using the law courts to force her hand.
Friend 2: Being in her position, the legal challenge buying her some time will be massively appealing.
Friend 1: I think it's very clever. By saying it's a hard Brexit it has forced the markets to react badly and the pound to fall.
May admitted today that parliament would have to have a debate on Brexit once the terms of the negotiations had been ratified. A minor victory for the remain camp maybe, but with, yet again, a huge effect on the markets; the pound rallied strongly against the dollar.
By demonstrating the effect real Brexit will have she has scared the shit out of manty leavers including some top Tory MPs. It's fascinating to see it play out, and very scary!
Friend 2: As [friend 1] suggests, I think public opinion is moving away from leave; I don't think people can be bothered with the uncertainty against the perceived benefits of there being a few less Polish people in Stoke in 5 years time, or whatever.
Any thoughts?