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@Velocio
Remember the crosswinds and the echelon gap from 2013?
http://www.letour.com/le-tour/2013/us/stage-13/news/int/mark-cavendish-more-watts-to-make-the-echelon-than-to-win-the-sprint.html
Cav got it then, but I think others will be watching for it this time around.
I'm going to go with Sagan.