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Almost certainly as he's going to be tired after 4 days where he's been no worse than 4th, and the Peyrol/Perthus combination will likely see him dropped. It does depend on the race situation though, as both Sky and Movistar are quite happy seeing Tinkoff having the responsibility of yellow. I doubt Sky will put the boot in on Contador, as Thomas is also below par following his injury, and Movistar are in pole position to take yellow if Sagan falters, and they won't want that yet.
It wouldn't surprise me at all if a break stays away today and someone non-threatening to the GC battle takes yellow.
andyp
@ 
Is this even hard enough to shake Sagan off?