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@The_Seldom_Killer
1 Greenbank : Never (well, not in the next 3 years anyway)
2 Ramsaye : General Election first
3 senorB : 1st Jan
4 EB : 1 April
5 neil: Boxing Day 2016
6: Damo: general election first, then by the end of the first term of parliament.
7: TW : Another referendum first, then never
8: Yark: 31st October 2016
9: JW: Election first. I'd be very pleasantly surprised if after that there's to be no Brexit and we get a proper Conservative and Labour party. OR even better, new parties but FPP fucks that up.
10: TSK: Tricky to call but sometime between 31st October 2016 and 28th February 2017
I hope I'm wrong on this but here's what I see happening. Cameron is going to get pushed ahead of time leading to a Johnson leadership. The longer he leaves pushing the button, the quicker his party's confidence in him will start dropping quicker than a British Pound. In the meantime, the internecine fighting in the PLP will prevent them from being in a position to reasonably to call for the General Election that looks necessary in order to stop proceedings. They also really need to do a lot of work to connect with working class heartlands to sell them on the value of them as a party and the EU as a valuable entity.