• Interesting thought. I don't know the answer. I suspect the turnout will be higher than the last general election, so will trump the Commons in terms of legitimacy.

  • I'd be surprised if the turnout is anywhere close to general election levels. The Voting system referendum saw a turnout of just 42%. The last EU referendum, in 1975, saw a turnout of 65%. I'd think tomorrow will be somewhere between the two.

    General elections usually see turnout at around 70%.

  • There was an 84.6% turnout at the Scottish referendum, far in excess of the 66% turnout (UK wide) and even the 71% turnout (in Scotland) at the last general election.

    I haven't seen any predictions or analysis on probable turnout, but it feels to me like a high turnout situation given the media saturation and the importance of the question.

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