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You can't promise anything. I think that's why they avoid it.
Whatever happens, the only certainty is renegotiation of trade, and how that is done depends on the competency and how pissed off other countries are. I think it's a poor bet to go it alone, and an overestimation of what the UK is worth (sorry...)
UKIP can only fully do an immigration clampdown if the common market is left. But they don't hold a majority. So to promise this will backfire.
Labour would reallocate cash to the NSH but they have no power. So to promise this will backfire.
Conservatives, well I doubt they will clampdown so much as UKIP as it's bad for business. So to promise this will backfire for them internally due to business sponsors.I am just looking at the clouds extrapolation nothing but shit as the preparations for renegotiation are piss poor and I don't expect a run to the left with all the xenophobia that surfaced. At least, not soon. And once the UK is out, the EU will most likely go "fuck you".
I could be wrong of course and Westminster could be on fire in a few months with heads on stakes outside the tower of London...
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JWestland
It's a fairly representative example of social acceptance models. Despite the far greater disparity in qualifications, talents, motivations and lifestyle, people will identify far better with celebrities/icons and role models than they will a political, social or economic expert.
A lot of this is down the subconcious perception of how people are making decisions. A lot of Beckham supporters will feel that, due to their social and educational status, they won't be able to understand what informs the experts. They feel excluded from that type of knowledge and informed decision making. However, the perception is that the likes of Beckham are making their decision on their feelings and emotional response to the issue and fans will have that connection of similarity.
You can mock it, but you've probably done the same thing yourself in previous situation.
The reality is that this issue is being decided by people who don't really know what they are voting for or against. They're voting on a gut feeling about what the EU is and what their choice would mean on a mainly binary good/bad basis. It's not surprising though. Both sides of the debate have avoided much in the way of concrete commitments and people mainly vote on definites.