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Looks like it. Suppose that explains the drop in temperature as well. Though metoffice predictions seem to be less strong wind than weatherbagel, so I think I'm going to attempt to believe metoffice now.
What I really want to know is whether forecast of no rain means I can leave horrible clip on mudguards at home
So, BCM weather - looking not bad, headwind for the first 300k, but possibility of no rain which seems too good to be true in Wales.
http://weatherbagel.com/f/28a1b0d8-b78b-4af3-9138-63a49de94fb4
(that's based on a 20kph average speed, people other than me will probably be faster).