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I'd aim for sub 3.
From experience- missing GFA by seconds because they change the time required the day after the race hurts a lot- especially when you were coasting in feeling confident you'd made the cut. (and the GFA for London is still on the generous side compared to others world wide).
It stopped me entering another marathon for a bit, if I'm honest. And still kinda hurts now.I'd like to push for Boston Qualifying time now, but we'll have to see how that goes.
I just want to finally have an answer for when non runners say "oh you're a runner have you done the London marathon?".
When I don't get in the ballot I'll be targeting gfa at MK I think. Whether I can run 3:05 is another matter entirely.