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Yeah, I raced last year's 50s off the back of a holiday with 0 speedwork so I 'know' I can get it, it's more a question of finding a decent course on a decent day and not being fucked from other training. Prioritising training/events is a bit of a juggling act but I've focused on a single target before and if it goes to pot then I have nothing.
At least racing more I get some interim targets like club records to beat. So, say I lose the 24hr, my whole season isn't a write off if I've hit some other goals.
I could ride back from Hull or something but it would involve trains or getting the missus to drive back so it's a better package if I make it a 'holiday'. Also, has to be Open event to claim club records.
I think the 50 looks very doable for you based on the weekends time, you can add on 5 minutes to each lap and still beat it, things in reality are rarely as simple as they are in my head though!
in my mind Hull is fast enough to just turn up and crack a sub 20, again probably not the case and it probably takes a few goes to get decent weather and to familiarise yourself with the course.
could you plan riding back from hull (or part of it) to avoid the weekend being a total loss, or do a mid week one as I'm sure there are club events there in the summer?