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I wasn't picking apart the analogy, although the Grand National is shit.
It is both a hard race and an easy race to control, because of the narrowness of the parcours. But I still think if you don't have a 5 star favourite then getting strong riders up the road in advance of the denouement is the best tactic.
I think RVV is harder for teams to control than most races. You can be well positioned and get stuck behind a crash, rain affects it more than other races etc. Sure you can get stuck behind a crash in other races, but the roads aren't as narrow.
I think it's a good analogy.