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"keeping his profile as low as possible"
err... contesting the final sprint in G-W, E3s chase back (http://www.treksegafredo.com/news/trek-segafredo-shows-grit-team-spirit-huge-chase-after-cancellara-mechanical), he was up front at MSR and avoided the Gaviria crash. If that's his low profile, his showboating must be epic.
I see fabs winning one if not both.
He is a monster and has the hunger. He's had some bad luck thus far, but I also think he's been keeping his powder dry, not stamping out just how good his form really is. I think he could have won a few races thus far this year if he wanted. But he's been keeping his eye on the big prize and keeping his profile as low as possible...
/armchairds