Nato is a mutual defence pact, so basically if Russia invaded Poland, the rest of the alliance would be obliged to come to Poland's defence. This obviously raises the risk of nuclear war with the U.S., which the Russians don't want either. So they don't invade Poland. That's the logic, and thus far it has worked. The Russians don't seem mental enough to want to test it.
Countries outside Nato, however, Russia fucks with because Nato doesn't want to run the risk of nuclear war either. So they tut from afar when Russia invades Georgia, and when Russia annexes Crimea they impose financial sanctions that don't threaten the energy trade with Europe and refuse to send Ukraine lethal aid.
That's the basis of Europe's security architecture. Yeah it's fucked up. But that's the reality of it.
I'm pretty sure that there was some kind of defence agreement with Ukraine, which was part of the basis that Ukraine gave up the nukes under its control when the USSR disintegrated.
Nobody was supposed to try to coerce Ukraine or use force against it, the Budapest Memorandum said.
I refer you to the hordes of holidaying off-duty Russian soldiers currently enjoying the climate of eastern Ukraine. And, er, the annexation of Crimea.
Nato is a mutual defence pact, so basically if Russia invaded Poland, the rest of the alliance would be obliged to come to Poland's defence. This obviously raises the risk of nuclear war with the U.S., which the Russians don't want either. So they don't invade Poland. That's the logic, and thus far it has worked. The Russians don't seem mental enough to want to test it.
Countries outside Nato, however, Russia fucks with because Nato doesn't want to run the risk of nuclear war either. So they tut from afar when Russia invades Georgia, and when Russia annexes Crimea they impose financial sanctions that don't threaten the energy trade with Europe and refuse to send Ukraine lethal aid.
That's the basis of Europe's security architecture. Yeah it's fucked up. But that's the reality of it.