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@christianSpaceman
It's not evidence, but the Fabian society suggests
"Around 4 out of 5 of the extra (net) votes Labour will need to gain in English and Welsh marginals will have to come direct from Conservative voters (in 2015 this figure was around 1 out of 5, because of the Lib Dem meltdown)"
http://www.fabians.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/The-Mountain-to-Climb.pdf
I.e. all the new votes that Corbyn may get (new labour members, young voters, Scottish voters) will not be sufficient. They need to get Tory voters.
I can't anyway that he'll be able to get those.