Tour de France 2015

Would disc brakes have helped or made things worse there?
Genuine question.

With ABS right?

No difference.

Don't think so - problem in situations like today is lack of grip from the tyres.

Massive headwind counts against cav, right?

Why? Show your workings.

Why? He's pushing a lot less air than Greipel and Sagan.

Thought it would favour those with a higher pure power output. Based on not a lot, admittedly.

Cav's sprint form is ridiculously aerodynamic - something like 70-90% of the effort involved in propelling you on the flat is to do with pushing the air out of the way.
My experience with sprinting is that smaller people always do better in a sprint into a headwind than big people (like me).

It favours those who get their timing right as much as anything. If Etixx get the lead out right then he has a good chance.

Speaking of which, Etixx seemed to have cocked this up a bit

Yep. Total cock up.

How long before the line did his train lose him? 600m? Oh dear.

Greipel the strongest and best timing. Sagan's speed is incredible, sadly too late

@dan Not if you are fat and German obvs.

Sagan had quite a turn of pace eh?

dis his train lose him, or the other way around? debatable.

decent late surge

Cavendish will not win a stage in this race.

Greipel just looks too good so far, regardless of any train.

That's a bold prediction.

He looked latched on to Greipel's wheel, then Sagan pushed him off it. He then proceeded to go far too early into the headwind, whereas Greipel didn't come out of cover till ~100m before the line, Sagan even later (too late).

Etixxx train needs a bit of work it seems.

Seems a bit with Cav that he's a bit nervous - not confident enough to jump on someone like Greipel's wheel and come round at the end. He's trying to use his jump to win the sprint before it even really starts.

Though to be fair to him, he had to come a from a long way back and had to come right out and around Kristoff, who sprinted like a total whopper.

Edit: wasn't Kristoff - it was whoever FDJ's sprinter is.

Etixxx train needs a bit of work it seems.

They've been saying that for two years.