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Kristoff was winning for fun early season. Given you have the likes of him, M Matthews and Degenkolb means Sagan has a lot more competition in the lumpier sprint stages, which should make the green jersey a lot more open as they should all be grabbing points here and there. Plus Tinkov-Saxo will be hunting yellow, I wonder how much freedom Sagan will have.
Yeah, I wanted Hesjedal in there as well, but somehow couldn't make it add up in a sensible way.