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@noBlakes
Even if the break goes, Orica have got a group of 4 diesels who will just sit on the front all day and reel it in, probably with help from BMC
No way Bertie makes it to the end of this stage, 260km of racing with hills and bearing in mind how much he climbs out of the saddle, with an arm that can't put a jersey on?! Good luck
I reckon it'll be a hilly sprint, Gilbert will try and go early, be followed by a few and then call it a day, then a race between Matthews and Lobato, then Felline coming with a late charge