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@HatBeard
my real world paces so far this year are
5k: 20:39 @ 6:39/mile
10k: 44:31 @ 7:10/mile
half: 1:38:21 @ 7:30/ mile
all of which feel like 'soft' PBs (i.e. I could have run faster if I hadn't held back a little).
my 'gold' marathon target is currently
full: 3:20:00 @ 7:38/mile
which i think is not outside the realms of possibility looking at those other times.
If you trend down by 20 seconds / mile across all those distances you pretty much get the same times as the race predictor