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  • Chalfie, the list of previous seasons I posted shows that any team topping the table after 12 games since 08/09 who had 29 points or lower did not win the league. So it seems 30 points and above is a point above which likelihood of a win increases exponentially. This has applied to Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea. I don't have the time to mine the data any further but you can go to premierleague.com and check out the premier league tables for any date in the year going back to 92.

    The point was not that Chelsea might win the league, it was that Liverpool are in a worse position than Chelsea have been in 20 years. If your point is Liverpool could make a come back from 14 points then you are perfectly suited to supporting Liverpool, although you will soon be entering the "Next year will be our year" phase.

    So you can rest easy, we are not talking about Chelsea doing well, we're still talking about Liverpool. And how badly they are doing....

  • My point was definitely not about Liverpool.
    If we can actually have a defining point of the season being 12 games and closest to 30 points, then maybe we can get closer to the sid Lowe described phenomenon of previous la liga seasons where the whole season could be settled in one match.
    #stopfootball

    In seriousness, I'm sure it might also be interesting to compare those 12 matches and determine the relative strengths of the teams played.

    @cliveo unfortunately I was only just alive in 75. I don't think I was aware of my existence. My earliest memory is of desperately trying to open the gate of our house in Belfast before I shat myself.

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