• For all we know, that particular cyclist was good at that and has been cycling frequently for many years without an incident.

    Which raises an interesting thought. Let's say someone rides to work every day. Say they are lucky enough to get five weeks' holiday a year, plus Christmas, and a couple of days off with a hangover or whatever. That's 45 weeks x 5 days, or 225 journeys into work a year. Suppose they perform the exact same flashy manoeuvre every morning, and come to absolutely no harm for four years in a row. Clearly then, they are an expert, and their judgement of what is safe is sound.

    The thing is, would you fly in a plane, if that plane crashed and burned without warning on average every 901 journeys?

  • Which raises an interesting thought. Let's say someone rides to work every day. Say they are lucky enough to get five weeks' holiday a year, plus Christmas, and a couple of days off with a hangover or whatever. That's 45 weeks x 5 days, or 225 journeys into work a year. Suppose they perform the exact same flashy manoeuvre every morning, and come to absolutely no harm for four years in a row. Clearly then, they are an expert, and their judgement of what is safe is sound.

    The thing is, would you fly in a plane, if that plane crashed and burned without warning on average every 901 journeys?>

    a 1/901 chance of it crashing is a pretty small chance

    8/10 would fly

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