• What's the leverage to get the Spanish to agree. They are trying to protect themselves from Catalonian independence, if they concede to the Scots it opens the door for the Catalans.

  • What's the leverage to get the Spanish to agree.

    In general because it would be in the interests of the EU to have Scotland as member once the Scots have started to pick up the pieces of what they have broken, and what is in the interests of the EU tends to get agreed. And in particular because Spain is very dependent the goodwill of its EU partners, think of the continuing bailout from the European Central Bank which for example is about to start buying Spanish bank bad debts, mostly securitized mortgages in a property market that has suffered the biggest price collapse of any in Europe. Maybe there would also be a promise not to treat Catalonia in the same way - it's clearly different in that Catalonian independence would not be recognised by Spain.

    It may be that the rump UK would also be in favour of Scotland in the EU perhaps on condition that it joins the eurozone, would rather have the Germans on the line to bail out the Scots when it comes to it. But anything that brings more stability to what would otherwise be an unstable entity would be good for the rUK.

    My point is that the EU argument is not what this is about, it is about largeness of vision versus reductive nationalism.

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