I just read that wiki page. [strike]Fuck logic. :)[/strike]
It's pretty interesting the stuff they're talking about, about how people estimate probabilities. Intuitively, the probability that a child is a boy is 1/2, regardless of any other children.
Maybe this is how the Monty Hall problem (a whole other kettle of fish) confuses people.
I just read that wiki page. [strike]Fuck logic. :)[/strike]
It's pretty interesting the stuff they're talking about, about how people estimate probabilities. Intuitively, the probability that a child is a boy is 1/2, regardless of any other children.
Maybe this is how the Monty Hall problem (a whole other kettle of fish) confuses people.