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@GA2G
If Red Bull have the ultimate potential they had last year, for now, they're playing catch up. Renault have said that their engines are cleared for full power use, so it's only car set up that they need to finalise.
I think they're still shaking down, but if Newey has found a way to steal a march on the others, again, then yes, they could be holding back. Though I'm hoping for anybody but Red Bull to win.